Palmeiras vs Botafogo Prediction and Preview – Club World Cup 2025

Full match preview and prediction for Palmeiras vs Botafogo in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup Round of 16. Check head-to-head, form, betting tips, and why Botafogo are tipped to win.

Palmeiras vs Botafogo – Club World Cup 2025 Round of 16 Match Preview

Palmeiras and Botafogo face off in an all-Brazilian showdown in the Round of 16 at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup. Set to be played on June 28, 2025, at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, this highly anticipated fixture features two sides with contrasting recent fortunes. Palmeiras, despite a strong group stage showing, come into the knockout round with something to prove against a Botafogo side that has been their nemesis in recent meetings.

Current Form and Group Stage Summary

Palmeiras topped Group A after a solid performance that included a 2-0 win over Al Ahly, a draw against Porto, and a narrow edge over Inter Miami on goal difference. However, they’ve shown defensive vulnerability at times, particularly when pressed in wide areas. Meanwhile, Botafogo impressed by finishing second in a tough Group B that included European powerhouse PSG. Their surprise 1-0 win over the French champions and a 2-1 victory against the Seattle Sounders proved they’re not just here to make up the numbers.

Head-to-Head Analysis

Recent history favors Botafogo. In their last five encounters with Palmeiras, Botafogo remain unbeaten, with three wins and two draws. Notably, they eliminated Palmeiras from the 2024 Copa Libertadores with a 4-3 aggregate victory, showing they can rise to the occasion against big domestic rivals even on the international stage. This psychological edge could prove decisive in a knockout scenario.

Tactical Breakdown

Palmeiras typically play a possession-based system, relying heavily on midfield creativity from Raphael Veiga and the pace of Estêvão out wide. Their ability to control the ball and stretch defenses has served them well domestically. However, they’ve struggled when teams deny them space in midfield and apply direct pressure on their backline. Botafogo thrive in these situations. Their compact defensive shape, combined with fast transitions through the likes of Jefferson Savarino and Igor Jesus, gives them the perfect formula to frustrate and punish possession-heavy teams. Their counter-attacking style has proven effective in high-stakes games and could be the difference-maker here.

Betting Insights and Odds

Bookmakers are slightly favoring Palmeiras based on group stage form and squad depth, but many analysts believe Botafogo offer better value. With odds around 13/5 for a Botafogo win, they present a strong underdog opportunity. Six of the last seven meetings between these teams have featured both teams scoring, and over 2.5 goals has become a common trend. A 2-1 win for Botafogo fits this pattern and aligns with their current confidence and head-to-head success.

Match Prediction

Taking into account recent head-to-head results, tactical dynamics, and current form, Botafogo enter this match with the momentum and confidence to cause another upset. Palmeiras may dominate possession, but Botafogo’s structure, discipline, and sharp counterattacks make them the better side in this knockout setting.

Prediction: Botafogo to win 2-1

FAQs

Who won the last meeting between Palmeiras and Botafogo?
Botafogo won their most recent competitive clash, knocking Palmeiras out of the 2024 Copa Libertadores with a 4-3 aggregate victory.

Where is the match being played?
The match will be held at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia as part of the FIFA Club World Cup 2025 Round of 16.

What is the kickoff time?
Kickoff is scheduled for 12 p.m. ET on Saturday, June 28, 2025.

Which team is favored by bookmakers?
Palmeiras are slight favorites based on pre-match odds, but Botafogo are considered the stronger value pick due to their recent form and head-to-head advantage.

Will both teams score in this match?
Historically, yes. Both teams have scored in six of their last seven meetings, making this a likely outcome again.

What are the key strengths of Botafogo?
Botafogo are known for their solid defensive shape, efficient transitions, and ability to perform under pressure in big matches. Their recent wins against top clubs like PSG highlight their capability.